Tuesday, January 25, 2011

10-7, +6.86 Units

Montreal completely crapped the bed, but I am developing a severe man crush on the capabilities of Minnesota to perform as the underdog. Amazing work these guys turn in when their back is against the wall. Anaheim got the quick 2 goal strike int he opening 5 minutes to allow them to beat Columbus 3-2.

Soccer killed me this day, but that's part of the hand dealt to me. Lets look at some games happening around Europe  tomorrow and pick a few.

In the premiere league, I like the Liverpool-Fulham game to go over (even) 2.5 goals. In the premiere league, overs that are the underdog by <0.3 average difference in odds points in the english odds system happen 60% of the time.

In the Scottish Premiere League I like Aberdeen to win (+165) against Inverness and Motherwell to win (+170) against St Johnstone and the over (+125) in that game. In the SPL, away teams with average odds of 2.5-3.0 (english odds numbers) win 59% of the time. Overs that are underdogs by an average difference of 0.5-0.7 in english odds numbers win 80% of the time.

Finally, in the Seguda Division, I like Tenerife to win (+110) against Granada 74.  In the Segunda Division, home teams that are favorites against the road team by an average odds difference of 1-1.5 points win 53% of the time.

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